Gold Coast vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2023
Last updated: Aug 19, 2023, 4:03AM | Published: Aug 13, 2023, 2:00PM
Gold Coast squares off with Carlton in AFL Round 23 action at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Gold Coast vs Carlton, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 23, 2023
Who Will Win: Gold Coast vs Carlton
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Gold Coast-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 58% chance of defeating the Suns at Metricon Stadium.
More: Gold Coast vs Carlton Match Centre
Gold Coast vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Metricon Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $2.38, Carlton $1.71
- Line: Gold Coast +9.5 ($1.80), Carlton -9.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.86, Under $2.12
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Gold Coast at $2.38 and Carlton at $1.71.
The Suns are 9.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.80 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.86 and odds for the Under at $2.12.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 166.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Gold Coast vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $2.38 with Betfair (0.1% edge)
- Line: Gold Coast +9.5 at $1.80 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Gold Coast vs Carlton predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 23
Gold Coast vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Carlton at Metricon Stadium on Saturday has Carlton winning 84-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Gold Coast vs Carlton on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Gold Coast vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Searching for Gold Coast vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 9.5% chance of kicking the first goal at Metricon Stadium, while the Blues star has a 93.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Mabior Chol: 5.4% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 5.1% probability
- Alex Sexton: 5.1% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.6% probability
- Levi Casboult: 4.0% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 9.5% probability
- Harry McKay: 7.9% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.3% probability
- Jack Martin: 4.2% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Mabior Chol: 76.4% probability
- Alex Sexton: 75.2% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 74.7% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 70.9% probability
- Levi Casboult: 68.2% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 93.5% probability
- Harry McKay: 89.8% probability
- Matthew Owies: 72.5% probability
- Jack Martin: 68.1% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 66.6% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Gold Coast vs Carlton game at Metricon Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Gold Coast vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Suns and Blues at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:10pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Carlton
- Date: Saturday 19 August 2023
- Time: 2:10pm AEST
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Gold Coast vs Carlton have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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