Gold Coast vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2023
Last updated: Jul 1, 2023, 6:33AM | Published: Jun 25, 2023, 10:35AM
Gold Coast faces Collingwood in AFL Round 16 action at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Gold Coast vs Collingwood, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 16, 2023
Who Will Win: Gold Coast vs Collingwood
Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Gold Coast-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 57% chance of defeating the Suns at Metricon Stadium.
More: Gold Coast vs Collingwood Simulated 10,000 Times
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Metricon Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Gold Coast $2.30, Collingwood $1.75
- Line: Gold Coast +6.5 ($1.90), Collingwood -6.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $2.06
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Gold Coast at $2.30 and Collingwood at $1.75.
The Suns are listed as 6.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.90 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Magpies (-6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for Gold Coast vs Collingwood sits at 160.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $2.06.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Suns (+6.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 160.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Game
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $2.30 with Betfair
- Line: Collingwood -6.5 at $2.06 with Betfair
- Total Points: Under 160.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Our Gold Coast vs Collingwood betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Even though the Suns are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Magpies -6.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 16
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Gold Coast vs Collingwood at Metricon Stadium on Saturday has Collingwood winning 81-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Gold Coast vs Collingwood on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Goal Kickers
Looking for Gold Coast vs Collingwood goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Brody Mihocek is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Gold Coast vs Collingwood.
Mihocek has an 8.1% chance of kicking the first goal at Metricon Stadium, while the Magpies star has a 90.6% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 6.4% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 6.3% probability
- Levi Casboult: 3.8% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 3.7% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 3.6% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 8.1% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 7.1% probability
- Bobby Hill: 4.9% probability
- Mason Cox: 4.3% probability
- Beau McCreery: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 83.0% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 80.9% probability
- Levi Casboult: 67.1% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 62.6% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 61.4% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 90.6% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 85.5% probability
- Bobby Hill: 72.0% probability
- Mason Cox: 69.0% probability
- Josh Daicos: 58.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Gold Coast vs Collingwood game at Metricon Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Gold Coast vs Collingwood: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Suns and Magpies at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Gold Coast vs Collingwood
- Date: Saturday 1 July 2023
- Time: 4:35pm AEST
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Gold Coast vs Collingwood have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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