Hawthorn vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2023
Last updated: Aug 5, 2023, 6:35AM | Published: Jul 30, 2023, 11:25PM
Hawthorn squares off with the favoured Collingwood in AFL Round 21 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 4:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Hawthorn vs Collingwood, as well as the latest betting odds, are detailed below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 21, 2023
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Hawthorn-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Magpies an 84% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 21 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs Collingwood Match Centre
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $6.80, Collingwood $1.16
- Line: Hawthorn +32.5 ($2.00), Collingwood -32.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $6.80 and Collingwood at $1.16.
The Hawks are 32.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Magpies (-32.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for Hawthorn vs Collingwood sits at 169.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+32.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 169.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $6.80 with Betfair (1.0% edge)
- Line: Hawthorn +32.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (53% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
Today's Hawthorn vs Collingwood betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our recommended option due to the 1.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 21
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Collingwood winning 97-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Hawthorn vs Collingwood on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Collingwood game at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Hawthorn vs Collingwood: Preview
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Hawks and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 4:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Collingwood
- Date: Saturday 5 August 2023
- Time: 4:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Hawthorn vs Collingwood have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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