Hawthorn vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2023
Last updated: Jul 29, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 24, 2023, 12:40AM
Hawthorn takes on St Kilda in AFL Round 20 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Hawthorn vs St Kilda, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 20, 2023
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs St Kilda
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Hawthorn-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 51% chance of defeating the Hawks at Marvel Stadium.
More: Hawthorn vs St Kilda Match Centre
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $2.34, St Kilda $1.73
- Line: Hawthorn +5.5 ($1.87), St Kilda -5.5 ($1.90)
- Total (Over/Under 158.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $2.34 and St Kilda at $1.73.
The Hawks are 5.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.87 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Saints (-5.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.
The Over/Under for Hawthorn vs St Kilda is set at 158.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (+5.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 158.5 points has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Game
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $2.34 with Betfair (6.0% edge) 🔥
- Line: Hawthorn +5.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 158.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (52% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Hawthorn vs St Kilda predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our recommended option due to the 6.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 20
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium this Sunday has St Kilda prevailing 79-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Hawthorn vs St Kilda on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers
Searching for Hawthorn vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, St Kilda's Jack Higgins is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs St Kilda.
Higgins has a 7.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Saints star has an 86.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 7.3% probability
- Luke Breust: 6.0% probability
- Chad Wingard: 4.5% probability
- Tyler Brockman: 3.6% probability
- Dylan Moore: 3.5% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 7.6% probability
- Mitch Owens: 5.4% probability
- Dan Butler: 4.5% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 4.2% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 3.3% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 86.5% probability
- Luke Breust: 77.7% probability
- Chad Wingard: 70.2% probability
- Dylan Moore: 64.0% probability
- Tyler Brockman: 62.2% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 86.9% probability
- Mitch Owens: 74.5% probability
- Dan Butler: 68.6% probability
- Anthony Caminiti: 68.6% probability
- Mason Wood: 58.7% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs St Kilda game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Hawthorn vs St Kilda: Preview
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Hawks and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Hawthorn vs St Kilda are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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