Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2023
Last updated: Aug 12, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Aug 6, 2023, 2:00PM
Hawthorn plays the favoured Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 22 action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 22, 2023
Who Will Win: Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Hawthorn-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Bulldogs a 61% chance of beating the Hawks in Round 22 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs Match Centre
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at University of Tasmania Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $3.00, Bulldogs $1.49
- Line: Hawthorn +13.5 ($2.08), Bulldogs -13.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $3.00 and the Bulldogs at $1.49.
The Hawks are listed as 13.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $2.08 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-13.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Hawks (+13.5) have a 58% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 169.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Scores for All Sports
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $3.00 with Betfair (6.2% edge) 🔥
- Line: Hawthorn +13.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (55% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Our Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bulldogs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Hawks to win is our preferred option because of the 6.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 22
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs at University of Tasmania Stadium on Sunday has the Bulldogs winning 87-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Hawthorn vs Bulldogs: Goal Kickers
Looking for Hawthorn vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Jamarra Ugle-Hagan is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Hawthorn vs Western.
Ugle-Hagan has a 7.8% chance of kicking the first goal at University of Tasmania Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 89.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 6.9% probability
- Luke Breust: 6.5% probability
- Chad Wingard: 4.6% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 4.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 3.7% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 7.8% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 7.0% probability
- Cody Weightman: 5.5% probability
- Rory Lobb: 4.6% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Hawthorn
- Luke Breust: 87.7% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 87.7% probability
- Jacob Koschitzke: 73.8% probability
- Chad Wingard: 72.5% probability
- Dylan Moore: 66.1% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 89.9% probability
- Aaron Naughton: 88.4% probability
- Cody Weightman: 81.7% probability
- Rory Lobb: 74.0% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 70.3% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Hawthorn vs Bulldogs game at University of Tasmania Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Hawks and Bulldogs at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Sunday 13 August 2023
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Hawthorn vs Bulldogs are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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