North Melbourne vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2023
Last updated: Jul 15, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 9, 2023, 2:10PM
North Melbourne faces the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 18 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for North Melbourne vs Hawthorn, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 18, 2023
Who Will Win: North Melbourne vs Hawthorn
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's North Melbourne-Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Hawks a 77% chance of beating the Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium.
More: North Melbourne vs Hawthorn Match Centre
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $3.35, Hawthorn $1.40
- Line: North Melbourne +17.5 ($1.88), Hawthorn -17.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has North Melbourne at $3.35 and Hawthorn at $1.40.
The Kangaroos are listed as 17.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.88 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Hawks (-17.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Hawks (-17.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 171.5-point Over/Under has a 58% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Hawthorn at $1.40 with Betfair (77% probability) 🔥
- Line: Hawthorn -17.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (53% probability)
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (58% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
These North Melbourne vs Hawthorn best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 18
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium on Sunday has Hawthorn winning 93-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of North Melbourne vs Hawthorn on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Looking for North Melbourne vs Hawthorn goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, N Melbourne's Nick Larkey is the most likely player to kick the first goal in North Melbourne vs Hawthorn.
Larkey has an 8.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Kangaroos star has a 90.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 8.2% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 5.7% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 3.8% probability
- Paul Curtis: 3.4% probability
- Tarryn Thomas: 2.5% probability
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 7.9% probability
- Luke Breust: 6.7% probability
- Fergus Greene: 5.9% probability
- Dylan Moore: 4.0% probability
- Chad Wingard: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 90.7% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 79.6% probability
- Jaidyn Stephenson: 65.2% probability
- Paul Curtis: 57.3% probability
- Tarryn Thomas: 51.5% probability
Hawthorn
- Mitch Lewis: 90.9% probability
- Luke Breust: 84.7% probability
- Fergus Greene: 80.8% probability
- Chad Wingard: 72.1% probability
- Dylan Moore: 67.7% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the North Melbourne vs Hawthorn game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Kangaroos and Hawks at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Hawthorn
- Date: Sunday 16 July 2023
- Time: 1:10pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for North Melbourne vs Hawthorn have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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