Richmond vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2023
Last updated: Jul 29, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 24, 2023, 12:35AM
Richmond squares off with Melbourne in AFL Round 20 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Richmond vs Melbourne, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 20, 2023
Who Will Win: Richmond vs Melbourne
Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Richmond-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Demons a 57% chance of beating the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
More: Richmond vs Melbourne Match Centre
Richmond vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $2.58, Melbourne $1.62
- Line: Richmond +9.5 ($1.89), Melbourne -9.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $2.58 and Melbourne at $1.62.
The Tigers are listed as 9.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $1.89 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.00.
The Over/Under for Richmond vs Melbourne has been set at 167.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the 167.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Richmond vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $2.58 with Betfair (4.0% edge) 🔥
- Line: Richmond +9.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (55% probability)
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (51% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
These Richmond vs Melbourne predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the 4.0% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 20
Richmond vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday has Melbourne winning 86-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs Melbourne on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live updates.
Richmond vs Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Looking for Richmond vs Melbourne goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Melbourne's Kysaiah Pickett is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Melbourne.
Pickett has a 7.7% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Demons star has an 87.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 7.2% probability
- Dustin Martin: 5.3% probability
- Shai Bolton: 5.2% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.3% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 2.9% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 7.7% probability
- Jake Melksham: 5.9% probability
- Christian Petracca: 5.6% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.3% probability
- Kade Chandler: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 87.3% probability
- Dustin Martin: 80.3% probability
- Shai Bolton: 78.1% probability
- Tim Taranto: 63.1% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 54.2% probability
Melbourne
- Kysaiah Pickett: 87.9% probability
- Jake Melksham: 81.1% probability
- Christian Petracca: 80.4% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 70.0% probability
- Kade Chandler: 66.6% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Melbourne match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Richmond vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Tigers and Demons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Melbourne
- Date: Sunday 30 July 2023
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Richmond vs Melbourne are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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