Richmond vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2023
Last updated: Aug 19, 2023, 3:41AM | Published: Aug 13, 2023, 2:02PM
Richmond plays North Melbourne in AFL Round 23 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 1:45pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Richmond vs North Melbourne, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 23, 2023
Who Will Win: Richmond vs North Melbourne
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Richmond-North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Tigers an 86% chance of defeating the Kangaroos in Round 23 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Richmond vs North Melbourne Match Centre
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $1.15, North Melbourne $7.20
- Line: Richmond -36.5 ($2.00), North Melbourne +36.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.93, Under $2.04
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $1.15 and North Melbourne at $7.20.
The Tigers are listed as 36.5-point favourites against the Kangaroos, with odds of $2.00 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Kangaroos (+36.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 173.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.93 and odds for the Under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Kangaroos (+36.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the 173.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: N Melbourne at $7.20 with Betfair (0.4% edge)
- Line: N Melbourne +36.5 at $1.91 with Betfair (60% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Our Richmond vs North Melbourne best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Tigers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 23
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs North Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday has Richmond winning 99-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs North Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Searching for Richmond vs North Melbourne goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Jack Riewoldt is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs North Melbourne.
Riewoldt has a 9.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has a 92.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 9.2% probability
- Shai Bolton: 6.9% probability
- Dustin Martin: 6.3% probability
- Tim Taranto: 4.4% probability
- Liam Baker: 3.6% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 8.6% probability
- Paul Curtis: 4.0% probability
- Eddie Ford: 2.8% probability
- Tarryn Thomas: 2.5% probability
- Luke Davies-Uniacke: 2.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 92.1% probability
- Shai Bolton: 86.3% probability
- Dustin Martin: 84.8% probability
- Tim Taranto: 69.8% probability
- Liam Baker: 65.6% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 92.6% probability
- Paul Curtis: 70.9% probability
- Eddie Ford: 55.5% probability
- Tarryn Thomas: 52.8% probability
- Curtis Taylor: 50.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs North Melbourne match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
Richmond vs North Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Tigers and Kangaroos at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs North Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 19 August 2023
- Time: 1:45pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Richmond vs North Melbourne have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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