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Richmond vs Sydney Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2023

Richmond faces Sydney in AFL Round 17 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Richmond vs Sydney, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Richmond vs Sydney

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Richmond-Sydney AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Tigers a 54% chance of beating the Swans in Round 17 of the 2023 AFL season.

More: Richmond vs Sydney Match Centre

Richmond vs Sydney: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Richmond $2.06, Sydney $1.93
  • Line: Richmond -0.5 ($2.06), Sydney +0.5 ($1.90)
  • Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Richmond at $2.06 and Sydney at $1.93.

The Tigers are listed as 0.5-point favourites against the Swans, with odds of $2.06 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Swans (+0.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.90.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 161.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.08 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Tigers (-0.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 161.5-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.

More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2023

Richmond vs Sydney: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Richmond at $2.06 with Betfair (54% probability) 🔥
  • Line: Richmond -0.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (54% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 161.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (57% probability) 🔥

Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

Our Richmond vs Sydney betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 17

Richmond vs Sydney: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Sydney at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday has Richmond winning 80-77.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Richmond vs Sydney on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Richmond vs Sydney: Goal Scorers

Are you looking for Richmond vs Sydney goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Richmond's Jack Riewoldt is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Sydney.

Riewoldt has an 8.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Tigers star has a 90.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Richmond

  • Jack Riewoldt: 8.0% probability
  • Dustin Martin: 6.5% probability
  • Shai Bolton: 5.7% probability
  • Tim Taranto: 3.8% probability
  • Maurice Rioli: 3.3% probability

Sydney

  • Lance Franklin: 7.1% probability
  • Tom Papley: 6.5% probability
  • Isaac Heeney: 5.6% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 4.6% probability
  • Errol Gulden: 3.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Richmond

  • Jack Riewoldt: 90.1% probability
  • Dustin Martin: 84.4% probability
  • Shai Bolton: 82.6% probability
  • Tim Taranto: 66.9% probability
  • Maurice Rioli: 60.7% probability

Sydney

  • Lance Franklin: 86.7% probability
  • Tom Papley: 83.8% probability
  • Isaac Heeney: 80.6% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 71.0% probability
  • Errol Gulden: 64.9% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Richmond vs Sydney match at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023

Richmond vs Sydney: Preview

The AFL Round 17 clash between the Tigers and Swans at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:20pm AEST on Thursday.

  • Teams: Richmond vs Sydney
  • Date: Thursday 6 July 2023
  • Time: 7:20pm AEST
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Richmond vs Sydney are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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