St Kilda vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2023
Last updated: Aug 5, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Jul 30, 2023, 11:15PM
St Kilda takes on Carlton in AFL Round 21 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for St Kilda vs Carlton, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 21, 2023
Who Will Win: St Kilda vs Carlton
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's St Kilda-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 62% chance of winning against the Saints in Round 21 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: St Kilda vs Carlton Match Centre
St Kilda vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.50, Carlton $1.66
- Line: St Kilda +9.5 ($1.89), Carlton -9.5 ($1.88)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.90
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $2.50 and Carlton at $1.66.
The Saints are 9.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.89 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the favourite Blues (-9.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.88.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 163.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.90.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+9.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 163.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
St Kilda vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.66 with Betfair (62% probability)
- Line: St Kilda +9.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 163.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (54% probability)
These St Kilda vs Carlton betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 21
St Kilda vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Carlton at Marvel Stadium on Sunday has Carlton winning 84-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St Kilda vs Carlton on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live win probabilities.
St Kilda vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for St Kilda vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 10.7% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Blues star has a 95.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Max King: 6.4% probability
- Jack Higgins: 5.3% probability
- Dan Butler: 3.5% probability
- Mitch Owens: 3.5% probability
- Jade Gresham: 3.4% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 10.7% probability
- Matthew Owies: 6.0% probability
- Jack Martin: 4.9% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.6% probability
- Zac Fisher: 3.3% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Max King: 83.0% probability
- Jack Higgins: 78.1% probability
- Mitch Owens: 61.9% probability
- Dan Butler: 61.2% probability
- Jade Gresham: 60.3% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 95.3% probability
- Matthew Owies: 79.4% probability
- Jack Martin: 74.1% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 71.7% probability
- Zac Fisher: 56.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Carlton match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
St Kilda vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Saints and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for St Kilda vs Carlton are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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