St Kilda vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2023
Last updated: Aug 19, 2023, 9:22AM | Published: Aug 13, 2023, 2:02PM
St Kilda faces Geelong in AFL Round 23 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:25pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for St Kilda vs Geelong, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 23, 2023
Who Will Win: St Kilda vs Geelong
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's St Kilda-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 53% chance of defeating the Saints in Round 23 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: St Kilda vs Geelong Match Centre
St Kilda vs Geelong: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $2.38, Geelong $1.71
- Line: St Kilda +7.5 ($1.95), Geelong -7.5 ($2.02)
- Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $1.92, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $2.38 and Geelong at $1.71.
The Saints are listed as 7.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.95 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Cats (-7.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.
The Over/Under for St Kilda vs Geelong has been set at 161.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.92 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 161.5-point Over/Under has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
St Kilda vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $2.38 with Betfair (4.5% edge) 🔥
- Line: St Kilda +7.5 at $1.95 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 161.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Our St Kilda vs Geelong betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option because of the 4.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 23
St Kilda vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Geelong at Marvel Stadium this Saturday has Geelong winning 80-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St Kilda vs Geelong on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, the best betting tips, and live scores.
St Kilda vs Geelong: Goal Scorers
Searching for St Kilda vs Geelong goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Geelong.
Cameron has an 8.1% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Cats star has an 88.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Max King: 6.5% probability
- Jack Higgins: 6.0% probability
- Tim Membrey: 5.7% probability
- Dan Butler: 4.1% probability
- Mitch Owens: 3.5% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 8.1% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 7.5% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.7% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.9% probability
- Brad Close: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
St Kilda
- Max King: 83.0% probability
- Jack Higgins: 78.8% probability
- Tim Membrey: 75.8% probability
- Dan Butler: 63.9% probability
- Mitch Owens: 58.3% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 88.7% probability
- Tom Hawkins: 86.5% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 77.4% probability
- Oliver Henry: 73.1% probability
- Brad Close: 60.0% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Geelong game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023
St Kilda vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Saints and Cats at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:25pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for St Kilda vs Geelong are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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