St Kilda vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2023
Last updated: Jul 8, 2023, 9:25AM | Published: Jul 2, 2023, 2:04PM
St Kilda squares off with the favoured Melbourne in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:25pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for St Kilda vs Melbourne, as well as the latest betting odds, are featured in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 17, 2023
Who Will Win: St Kilda vs Melbourne
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's St Kilda-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Demons a 62% chance of winning against the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
More: St Kilda vs Melbourne Match Centre
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $3.05, Melbourne $1.48
- Line: St Kilda +11.5 ($2.10), Melbourne -11.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 157.5 Points): Over $1.92, Under $2.06
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $3.05 and Melbourne at $1.48.
The Saints are 11.5-point underdogs against the Demons, with odds of $2.10 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Demons (-11.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.
The Over/Under for St Kilda vs Melbourne has been set at 157.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.92 and odds for the Under at $2.06.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Saints (+11.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 157.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $3.05 with Betfair (5.2% edge) 🔥
- Line: St Kilda +11.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (54% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 157.5 at $2.06 with Betfair (51% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Our St Kilda vs Melbourne predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Demons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our preferred option because of the 5.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 17
St Kilda vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Melbourne at Marvel Stadium on Saturday has Melbourne winning 82-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of St Kilda vs Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Melbourne match at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
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St Kilda vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Saints and Demons at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:25pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for St Kilda vs Melbourne have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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