St Kilda vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2023
Last updated: Aug 12, 2023, 1:55PM | Published: Aug 6, 2023, 2:01PM
St Kilda plays Richmond in AFL Round 22 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for St Kilda vs Richmond, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 22, 2023
Who Will Win: St Kilda vs Richmond
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's St Kilda-Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 52% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 22 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: St Kilda vs Richmond Match Centre
St Kilda vs Richmond: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: St Kilda $1.91, Richmond $2.06
- Line: St Kilda -1.5 ($1.87), Richmond +1.5 ($1.88)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.89
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has St Kilda at $1.91 and Richmond at $2.06.
The Saints are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.87 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Tigers (+1.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.88.
The Over/Under for St Kilda vs Richmond has been set at 163.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.89 and odds for the Under at $1.89.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both St Kilda and Richmond have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 163.5-point Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets for Every AFL Match
St Kilda vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Richmond at $2.06 with Betfair
- Line: Richmond +1.5 at $1.88 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 163.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (51% probability)
Today's St Kilda vs Richmond predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 22
St Kilda vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for St Kilda vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Sunday has St Kilda winning 82-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of St Kilda vs Richmond on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live scores.
St Kilda vs Richmond: Goal Kickers
Searching for St Kilda vs Richmond goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, St Kilda's Max King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in St Kilda vs Richmond.
King has a 7.1% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Saints star has an 87.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Max King: 7.1% probability
- Jack Higgins: 6.3% probability
- Tim Membrey: 5.7% probability
- Dan Butler: 4.1% probability
- Mitch Owens: 4.0% probability
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 6.8% probability
- Shai Bolton: 5.7% probability
- Dustin Martin: 5.7% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.6% probability
- Jacob Bauer: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
St Kilda
- Max King: 87.4% probability
- Jack Higgins: 83.7% probability
- Tim Membrey: 80.9% probability
- Dan Butler: 69.5% probability
- Mitch Owens: 64.0% probability
Richmond
- Jack Riewoldt: 86.8% probability
- Shai Bolton: 81.2% probability
- Dustin Martin: 78.1% probability
- Tim Taranto: 61.4% probability
- Jacob Bauer: 59.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the St Kilda vs Richmond game at Marvel Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
St Kilda vs Richmond: Preview
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Saints and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for St Kilda vs Richmond have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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