Sydney vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2023

Last updated: Jun 30, 2023, 9:45AM | Published: Jun 25, 2023, 10:35AM

Sydney faces Geelong in AFL Round 16 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Sydney vs Geelong, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.

More: AFL Expert Tips for Round 16, 2023

Who Will Win: Sydney vs Geelong

Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Sydney-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Swans a 52% chance of beating the Cats at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

More: Sydney vs Geelong Simulated 10K Times

Sydney vs Geelong: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are shown below:

Head to Head: Sydney $2.00, Geelong $1.99
Line: Sydney +2.5 ($1.82), Geelong -2.5 ($2.16)
Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.12, Under $1.89

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney at $2.00 and Geelong at $1.99.

The Swans are 2.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.82 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the favourite Cats (-2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.16.

The Over/Under for Sydney vs Geelong is set at 170.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.12 and odds for the Under at $1.89.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Swans (+2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 170.5 points has a 59% chance of staying Under.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports

Sydney vs Geelong: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Sydney at $2.00 with Betfair (52% probability)
Line: Sydney +2.5 at $1.82 with Betfair (56% probability)
Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.89 with Betfair (59% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.

Today's Sydney vs Geelong predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 16

Sydney vs Geelong: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Geelong at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Friday has Sydney winning 83-81.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Sydney vs Geelong on Friday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Sydney vs Geelong: Goal Kickers

Are you looking for Sydney vs Geelong goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Tom Hawkins is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Geelong.

Hawkins has an 8.5% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Cats star has a 93.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Sydney

Tom Papley: 6.8% probability
Isaac Heeney: 6.7% probability
Joel Amartey: 5.0% probability
Logan McDonald: 4.5% probability
Will Hayward: 3.9% probability

Geelong

Tom Hawkins: 8.5% probability
Tyson Stengle: 6.1% probability
Oliver Henry: 5.4% probability
Gary Rohan: 4.8% probability
Brad Close: 3.9% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Sydney

Tom Papley: 87.8% probability
Isaac Heeney: 85.5% probability
Joel Amartey: 74.7% probability
Logan McDonald: 73.7% probability
Will Hayward: 67.5% probability

Geelong

Tom Hawkins: 93.0% probability
Tyson Stengle: 81.7% probability
Oliver Henry: 80.3% probability
Gary Rohan: 76.9% probability
Brad Close: 66.2% probability

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Sydney vs Geelong game at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge 2023

Sydney vs Geelong: Preview

The AFL Round 16 clash between the Swans and Cats at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.

Teams: Sydney vs Geelong
Date: Friday 30 June 2023
Time: 7:50pm AEST
Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our predictions for Sydney vs Geelong have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.