Sydney vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2023
Last updated: Jul 13, 2023, 9:15AM | Published: Jul 9, 2023, 2:10PM
Sydney plays the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 18 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Thursday, beginning at 7:20pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Sydney vs Western Bulldogs, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who Will Win: Sydney vs Western Bulldogs
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Sydney-Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 59% chance of defeating the Bulldogs in Round 18 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Sydney vs Western Bulldogs Match Centre
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Sydney $1.65, Bulldogs $2.52
- Line: Sydney -6.5 ($1.88), Bulldogs +6.5 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $2.08
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney at $1.65 and the Bulldogs at $2.52.
The Swans are 6.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.88 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+6.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.12.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 165.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $2.08.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Sydney and Bulldogs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The Over/Under total of 165.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.52 with Betfair (1.4% edge)
- Line: Bulldogs +6.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Our Sydney vs Western Bulldogs betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Swans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our recommended option because of the 1.4% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
More: AFL Betting Trends for Round 18
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Western Bulldogs at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Thursday has Sydney prevailing 85-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Sydney vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live updates.
Sydney vs Bulldogs: Goal Scorers
Looking for Sydney vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Western.
Naughton has a 6.8% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Bulldogs star has an 85.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Sydney
- Lance Franklin: 6.5% probability
- Tom Papley: 6.2% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 6.2% probability
- Joel Amartey: 4.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 4.0% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 6.8% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 6.4% probability
- Cody Weightman: 6.0% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 3.6% probability
- Sam Darcy: 3.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Sydney
- Lance Franklin: 86.7% probability
- Tom Papley: 82.8% probability
- Isaac Heeney: 81.4% probability
- Joel Amartey: 67.3% probability
- Logan McDonald: 66.5% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 85.5% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 84.0% probability
- Cody Weightman: 82.8% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 63.1% probability
- Sam Darcy: 57.1% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Sydney vs Bulldogs game at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Sydney vs Western Bulldogs: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Swans and Bulldogs at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Sydney vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Thursday 13 July 2023
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Sydney vs Bulldogs are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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